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Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 2.0

Overall: 3.0

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical October. It is based on 2975 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was E, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 21% of the time, equivalent to 7 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal October. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) about 21% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 30% of the time. This is means that we expect 16 days with waves in a typical October, of which 7 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.