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Jelly Babies ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 5.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Jelly Babies Swell Statistics, November: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Jelly Babies that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical November. It is based on 2809 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the S. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 39% of the time, equivalent to 12 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal November but 14% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 14%, equivalent to (4 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Jelly Babies is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Jelly Babies about 39% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 60% of the time. This is means that we expect 30 days with waves in a typical November, of which 12 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.