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Jaws ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.5
Difficulty Level: 3.8
Wind and Kite Surfing: 2.0
Crowds: 2.8

Overall: 3.0

See all 18 ratings

Based on 4 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Jaws Swell Statistics, November: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Jaws that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical November. It is based on 2867 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was N, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the E. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 8% of the time, equivalent to 2 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal November but 5% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 5%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Jaws is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Jaws about 8% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 64% of the time. This is means that we expect 22 days with waves in a typical November, of which 2 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.