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Jakes ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 4.5
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 2.5

Overall: 3.5

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Jakes Swell Statistics, July: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Jakes that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical July. It is based on 2976 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the SE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 59% of the time, equivalent to 18 days. Expect open water swells to exceed >3m (>10ft) 5% of the time (2 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Jakes is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Jakes about 59% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 41% of the time. This is means that we expect 31 days with waves in a typical July, of which 18 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.