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Jacarandas ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 3.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.5

Overall: 3.6

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Jacarandas Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Jacarandas that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 7765 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 30% of the time, equivalent to 27 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal northern hemisphere winter. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Jacarandas is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Jacarandas about 30% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 57% of the time. This is means that we expect 79 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 27 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.