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Fatuuli Rock ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.7

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Surf Report Feed

Fatuuli Rock Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Fatuuli Rock that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical southern hemisphere autumn and is based upon 6580 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the ENE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 10% of the time, equivalent to 9 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal southern hemisphere autumn but 3% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Fatuuli Rock is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Fatuuli Rock about 10% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 25% of the time. This is means that we expect 32 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, of which 9 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.