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Fall Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.3
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.7

Overall: 2.6

See all 18 ratings

Based on 3 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Fall Bay Swell Statistics, All Year: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Fall Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical year. It is based on 28043 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WSW (which was the same as the dominant wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 3% of the time, equivalent to 11 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only happen 0.3% of the time in a typical year, equivalent to just one day but 3% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 3%, equivalent to (11 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Fall Bay is quite sheltered from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Fall Bay about 3% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 16% of the time. This is means that we expect 69 days with waves in a typical year, of which 11 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.