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Fall Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.3
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.7

Overall: 2.6

See all 18 ratings

Based on 3 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Fall Bay Swell Statistics, Summer: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Fall Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere summer. It is based on 7265 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was WSW (which was the same as the dominant wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 0.7% of the time, equivalent to 1 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal northern hemisphere summer but 3% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Fall Bay is quite sheltered from open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Fall Bay about 0.7% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 5% of the time. This is means that we expect 5 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere summer, of which 1 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.