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Fairy Bower ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.3
Difficulty Level: 3.7
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 1.7

Overall: 3.6

See all 18 ratings

Based on 4 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Fairy Bower Swell Statistics, January: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Fairy Bower that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical January. It is based on 2372 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SE, whereas the the most common wind blows from the E. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 18% of the time, equivalent to 6 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal January but 7% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 7%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Fairy Bower is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Fairy Bower about 18% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 52% of the time. This is means that we expect 22 days with waves in a typical January, of which 6 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.