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Express Point ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.8
Difficulty Level: 4.2
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.3
Crowds: 3.2

Overall: 3.6

See all 18 ratings

Based on 4 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Express Point Swell Statistics, May: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Express Point that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical May and is based upon 2838 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs.

The diagram suggests that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 27% of the time, equivalent to 8 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal May but 11% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 11%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Express Point is slightly protected from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Express Point about 27% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 20% of the time. This is means that we expect 15 days with waves in a typical May, of which 8 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.