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Ethel Wreck ratings
Quality on a good day: 5.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 2.0

Overall: 3.3

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Surf Report Feed

Ethel Wreck Swell Statistics, February: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Ethel Wreck that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical February. It is based on 2102 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the SSE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 18% of the time, equivalent to 5 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal February. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Ethel Wreck is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Ethel Wreck about 18% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 81% of the time. This is means that we expect 28 days with waves in a typical February, of which 5 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.