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Etel ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0

Overall: 3.0

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Etel Swell Statistics, January: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Etel that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal January. It is based on 2620 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was W (which was the same as the dominant wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 25% of the time, equivalent to 8 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only happen 3% of the time in a typical January, equivalent to just one day but 9% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 9%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Etel is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Etel about 25% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 65% of the time. This is means that we expect 28 days with waves in a typical January, of which 8 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.