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El Roque ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.8
Consistency of Surf: 2.2
Difficulty Level: 2.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 2.2

Overall: 2.1

See all 18 ratings

Based on 4 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

El Roque Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at El Roque that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 8485 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was NNW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the NE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 17% of the time, equivalent to 15 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal northern hemisphere winter but 2% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 2%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that El Roque is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at El Roque about 17% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 78% of the time. This is means that we expect 86 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 15 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.