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El Pescadero ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.8

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Surf Report Feed

El Pescadero Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at El Pescadero that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere winter and is based upon 6931 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 68% of the time, equivalent to 62 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal northern hemisphere winter but 15% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 15%, equivalent to (14 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that El Pescadero is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at El Pescadero about 68% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 29% of the time. This is means that we expect 88 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 62 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.