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El Cardon ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

El Cardon Swell Statistics, May: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at El Cardon that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal May. It is based on 2696 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was WNW (which was the same as the most common wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 10% of the time, equivalent to 3 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal May. Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that El Cardon is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at El Cardon about 10% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 86% of the time. This is means that we expect 30 days with waves in a typical May, of which 3 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.