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El Cardon ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

El Cardon Swell Statistics, July: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at El Cardon that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical July. It is based on 2480 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WNW (which was the same as the dominant wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 12% of the time, equivalent to 4 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal July. Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that El Cardon is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at El Cardon about 12% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 76% of the time. This is means that we expect 27 days with waves in a typical July, of which 4 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.