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East End and The Gap ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 2.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 4.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.5

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

East End and The Gap Swell Statistics, Summer: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at East End and The Gap that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical southern hemisphere summer. It is based on 6931 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WSW (which was the same as the prevailing wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 13% of the time, equivalent to 12 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal southern hemisphere summer but 3% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that East End and The Gap is slightly protected from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at East End and The Gap about 13% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 42% of the time. This is means that we expect 50 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere summer, of which 12 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.