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Eaglehawk Neck Reef ratings
Quality on a good day: 5.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 4.2

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Surf Report Feed

Eaglehawk Neck Reef Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Eaglehawk Neck Reef that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal southern hemisphere winter. It is based on 4330 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was ENE, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 9% of the time, equivalent to 8 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal southern hemisphere winter but 3% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Eaglehawk Neck Reef is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Eaglehawk Neck Reef about 9% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 11% of the time. This is means that we expect 18 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere winter, of which 8 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.