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Dinner Plates ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 5.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 5.0

Overall: 4.0

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Surf Report Feed

Dinner Plates Swell Statistics, January: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Dinner Plates that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical January. It is based on 2620 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red shows the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 28% of the time, equivalent to 9 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal January but 8% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 8%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Dinner Plates is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Dinner Plates about 28% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 58% of the time. This is means that we expect 27 days with waves in a typical January, of which 9 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.