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Church Point-Newbiggin ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0

Overall: 2.4

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Surf Report Feed

Church Point-Newbiggin Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Church Point-Newbiggin that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal northern hemisphere spring and is based upon 6579 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red represents the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was NE, whereas the the most common wind blows from the SW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 4% of the time, equivalent to 4 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal northern hemisphere spring but 3% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Church Point-Newbiggin is slightly protected from open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Church Point-Newbiggin about 4% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 15% of the time. This is means that we expect 17 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere spring, of which 4 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.