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Church Cove ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 2.8

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Surf Report Feed

Church Cove Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Church Cove that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 6931 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell happens.

The diagram suggests that the most common swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was WSW (which was the same as the dominant wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 13% of the time, equivalent to 12 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only arise 0.6% of the time in a typical northern hemisphere winter, equivalent to just one day but 5% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 5%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Church Cove is slightly protected from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Church Cove about 13% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 67% of the time. This is means that we expect 73 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 12 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.