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Carmel Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.2
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 2.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.8
Crowds: 2.4

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

Based on 6 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Carmel Beach Swell Statistics, February: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Carmel Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal February. It is based on 2102 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 34% of the time, equivalent to 10 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only occur 3% of the time in a typical February, equivalent to just one day but 19% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 19%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Carmel Beach is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Carmel Beach about 34% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 65% of the time. This is means that we expect 28 days with waves in a typical February, of which 10 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.