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Carlsbad City Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.3
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 2.2
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.8
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.4

See all 18 ratings

Based on 6 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Carlsbad City Beach Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Carlsbad City Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 6931 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was W, whereas the the most common wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 47% of the time, equivalent to 43 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal northern hemisphere winter but 8% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 8%, equivalent to (7 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Carlsbad City Beach is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Carlsbad City Beach about 47% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 35% of the time. This is means that we expect 75 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 43 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.