uk es it fr pt nl
Carlsbad City Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.3
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 2.2
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.8
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.4

See all 18 ratings

Based on 6 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Carlsbad City Beach Swell Statistics, January: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Carlsbad City Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical January. It is based on 2372 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was W, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the N. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 53% of the time, equivalent to 16 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal January but 9% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 9%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Carlsbad City Beach is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Carlsbad City Beach about 53% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 31% of the time. This is means that we expect 26 days with waves in a typical January, of which 16 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.