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Cape Conran ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 3.0
Crowds: 4.5

Overall: 3.7

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Cape Conran Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Cape Conran that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical southern hemisphere spring. It is based on 7252 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red represents highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the WSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 7% of the time, equivalent to 6 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal southern hemisphere spring but 6% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 6%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Cape Conran is slightly protected from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Cape Conran about 7% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 9% of the time. This is means that we expect 15 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere spring, of which 6 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.