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Cape Conran ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 3.0
Crowds: 4.5

Overall: 3.7

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Cape Conran Swell Statistics, January: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Cape Conran that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal January. It is based on 2868 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell happens.

The diagram suggests that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was ESE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the SSE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 11% of the time, equivalent to 3 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal January but 9% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 9%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Cape Conran is slightly protected from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Cape Conran about 11% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 9% of the time. This is means that we expect 6 days with waves in a typical January, of which 3 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.