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Cap Lopez ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 4.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 2.9

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Cap Lopez Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Cap Lopez that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical southern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 6580 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the most common swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSW (which was the same as the dominant wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 63% of the time, equivalent to 57 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal southern hemisphere autumn but 2% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 2%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Cap Lopez is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Cap Lopez about 63% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 37% of the time. This is means that we expect 91 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, of which 57 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.