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Bird Shit ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 5.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 2.0

Overall: 3.0

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Bird Shit Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Bird Shit that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October. It is based on 2976 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell happens.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 24% of the time, equivalent to 7 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal October. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds we think that that clean surf can be found at Bird Shit about 24% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 27% of the time. This is means that we expect 16 days with waves in a typical October, of which 7 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.