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Baya Reef ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Baya Reef Swell Statistics, All Year: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Baya Reef that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical year. It is based on 34628 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the SSE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 38% of the time, equivalent to 139 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only arise 0.4% of the time in a typical year, equivalent to just one day but 10% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 10%, equivalent to (36 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Baya Reef is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Baya Reef about 38% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 61% of the time. This is means that we expect 361 days with waves in a typical year, of which 139 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.