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Baya Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 2.8

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Surf Report Feed

Baya Beach Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Baya Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal southern hemisphere spring and is based upon 8476 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell happens.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the S. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 13% of the time, equivalent to 12 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal southern hemisphere spring but 9% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 9%, equivalent to (8 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Baya Beach is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Baya Beach about 13% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 87% of the time. This is means that we expect 91 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere spring, of which 12 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.