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Bay Street ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 2.0
Crowds: 2.5
Accommodation: 5.0

Overall: 3.8

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Bay Street Swell Statistics, November: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Bay Street that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical November and is based upon 2867 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 59% of the time, equivalent to 18 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal November. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Bay Street is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Bay Street about 59% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 31% of the time. This is means that we expect 27 days with waves in a typical November, of which 18 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.