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Balnakiel Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0

Overall: 4.0

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Surf Report Feed

Balnakiel Bay Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Balnakiel Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere spring. It is based on 8682 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red shows the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was NW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the SSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 13% of the time, equivalent to 12 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal northern hemisphere spring but 4% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 4%, equivalent to (4 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Balnakiel Bay is slightly protected from open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Balnakiel Bay about 13% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 49% of the time. This is means that we expect 56 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere spring, of which 12 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.