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Avoca Point ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.5
Difficulty Level: 2.8
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 2.5

Overall: 2.9

See all 18 ratings

Based on 8 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Avoca Point Swell Statistics, July: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Avoca Point that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical July. It is based on 2976 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was ESE, whereas the the most common wind blows from the W. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 22% of the time, equivalent to 7 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal July but 5% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 5%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Avoca Point is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Avoca Point about 22% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 21% of the time. This is means that we expect 13 days with waves in a typical July, of which 7 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.