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Avalon Point ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.2
Consistency of Surf: 2.8
Difficulty Level: 1.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 4.5
Crowds: 3.7

Overall: 3.4

See all 18 ratings

Based on 5 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Avalon Point Swell Statistics, March: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Avalon Point that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical March. It is based on 2716 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the SSE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 33% of the time, equivalent to 10 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal March but 10% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 10%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Avalon Point is slightly protected from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Avalon Point about 33% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 25% of the time. This is means that we expect 18 days with waves in a typical March, of which 10 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.