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Assateague ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.8
Difficulty Level: 2.8
Wind and Kite Surfing: 3.5
Crowds: 3.7

Overall: 3.7

See all 18 ratings

Based on 6 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Assateague Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Assateague that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal northern hemisphere autumn and is based upon 7252 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell occurs.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SE, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 26% of the time, equivalent to 24 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal northern hemisphere autumn but 5% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 5%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Assateague is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Assateague about 26% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 38% of the time. This is means that we expect 58 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, of which 24 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.