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Armadale Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.3

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Armadale Bay Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Armadale Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere spring. It is based on 8052 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the SW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 36% of the time, equivalent to 33 days. Expect open water swells to exceed >3m (>10ft) 4% of the time (4 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Armadale Bay is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Armadale Bay about 36% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 53% of the time. This is means that we expect 81 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere spring, of which 33 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.