Ano Nuevo Swell Statistics, April: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds
This image shows only the swells directed at Ano Nuevo that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical April and is based upon 2160 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.
The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 1.1% of the time, equivalent to 0 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal April. Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Ano Nuevo is quite sheltered from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Ano Nuevo about 1.1% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 11% of the time. This is means that we expect 4 days with waves in a typical April, of which 0 days should be surfable.
IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.