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Andrew Molera State Park ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 2.5

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Surf Report Feed

Andrew Molera State Park Swell Statistics, Summer: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Andrew Molera State Park that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere summer. It is based on 7266 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red illustrates highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was W (which was the same as the dominant wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 22% of the time, equivalent to 20 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal northern hemisphere summer but 5% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 5%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Andrew Molera State Park is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Andrew Molera State Park about 22% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 52% of the time. This is means that we expect 67 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere summer, of which 20 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.