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Otago Peninsula - Allans Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.5

Overall: 3.3

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Otago Peninsula - Allans Beach Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Otago Peninsula - Allans Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal southern hemisphere spring. It is based on 7252 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was S, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 30% of the time, equivalent to 27 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal southern hemisphere spring but 3% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Otago Peninsula - Allans Beach is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Otago Peninsula - Allans Beach about 30% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 40% of the time. This is means that we expect 64 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere spring, of which 27 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.