Acid Drops Swell Statistics, All Year: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds
This image shows only the swells directed at Acid Drops that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal year and is based upon 28044 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.
The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was S, whereas the the most common wind blows from the ENE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 22% of the time, equivalent to 80 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal year but 1.5% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 1.5%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Acid Drops is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Acid Drops about 22% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 2.0% of the time. This is means that we expect 88 days with waves in a typical year, of which 80 days should be surfable.
IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.