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Aberdaron ratings
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0

Overall: 3.2

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Surf Report Feed

Aberdaron Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Aberdaron that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical October. It is based on 2480 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red shows the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the SSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 0.2% of the time, equivalent to 0 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal October. Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Aberdaron is slightly protected from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Aberdaron about 0.2% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 28% of the time. This is means that we expect 9 days with waves in a typical October, of which 0 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.