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Abalone Cove ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.5
Consistency of Surf: 1.5
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 2.0
Accommodation: 1.0

Overall: 1.5

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Abalone Cove Swell Statistics, December: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Abalone Cove that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical December. It is based on 2457 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 2% of the time, equivalent to 1 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal December but 9% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 9%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Abalone Cove is quite sheltered from open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Abalone Cove about 2% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 3% of the time. This is means that we expect 2 days with waves in a typical December, of which 1 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.