Aan Swell Statistics, September: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds
The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Aan that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal September and is based upon 2400 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.
The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the SE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 6% of the time, equivalent to 2 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal September. Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Aan is slightly protected from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Aan about 6% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 91% of the time. This is means that we expect 29 days with waves in a typical September, of which 2 days should be surfable.
IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.